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Currency Risk Analysis

Understanding and managing currency risk in Kenyan real estate investments. Strategies to protect returns from KES/USD exchange rate fluctuations.

KES/USD Exchange Rate

Current RateKES 147.50
24h Change:+0.25 (+0.17%)
7d Change:-1.80 (-1.20%)
30d Change:+2.15 (+1.48%)

The Kenyan shilling has shown relative stability against the USD over the past year, with moderate volatility driven by global economic conditions and domestic factors.

Currency Risk Factors

Global Economic Uncertainty
US interest rate decisions and global growth outlook
Commodity Prices
Oil and agricultural commodity price fluctuations
Domestic Factors
Inflation, current account balance, and political stability

Currency Impact on Real Estate Returns

Rental Income (KES)

Annual NOI:KES 50M
USD Equivalent (147.50):$339,000
USD Equivalent (140.00):$357,000 (+5.3%)
USD Equivalent (155.00):$323,000 (-4.7%)

Currency Scenarios

Appreciation Scenario
KES strengthens to 140/USD, increasing USD returns by 5.3%
Depreciation Scenario
KES weakens to 155/USD, decreasing USD returns by 4.7%
Hedged Position
Currency risk eliminated through hedging strategies

Currency Hedging Strategies

Forward Contracts

Lock in exchange rates for future rental income repatriation

Cost: 2-4% of hedged amount

Currency Options

Protect against adverse movements while allowing participation in favorable moves

Premium: 1-3% of notional value

Natural Hedging

Match currency of revenues with expenses and financing

Cost: Minimal operational complexity

Historical Exchange Rate Trends

2020
Average Rate
KES 106.50
Pre-COVID baseline
2021
Average Rate
KES 110.25
Recovery period
2022
Average Rate
KES 120.80
Inflation impact
2023
Average Rate
KES 140.15
Stabilization trend

Currency Risk Management Framework

Risk Assessment

Regular monitoring of currency exposure and stress testing under various scenarios.

Hedging Policy

Defined hedging ratios and time horizons based on investment objectives and risk tolerance.

Performance Monitoring

Tracking hedging effectiveness and adjusting strategies based on market conditions.

Cost-Benefit Analysis

Evaluating hedging costs against potential currency losses and risk reduction benefits.

Currency Risk Management

Protect your real estate investment returns from currency fluctuations with professional hedging strategies.